I thought Spain were going to do really well
I was torn between their record (won Euro 2012 against my expectations, brilliant defence in qualifying, now with added Costa power) and the recent evidence (Barca decline, Costa untested and possibly unfit). I convinced myself that they were going to surprise everyone and win again, just cos they're a really solid unit of consistent achievers in a tournament with no obviously outstanding team. Last week I went to the bookies to place a £50 bet on them. Lost my never halfway and went for a walk in the park instead. Thank fuck.