global financial crash yay!

vimothy

yurp
Helping me to organise my thinking though.

EDIT: The problem with Scott's solution in the first instance is two-fold:

The Fed does not control the money supply

Even if the Fed controlled the money supply, some other factor would need to stabilise AD for an increase in the money supply to raise NGDP. Scott simply assumes that output is held constant. Since output is constant, increasing the money stock raises NGDP by virtue of raising the price level relative to output.
 
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vimothy

yurp
He definitely does not get that far. Nowhere near. He can't understand it at all. Check out the comments. I ask: How will increasing the stock of money increase AD? He answers: by raising NGDP. In other words, increasing the stock of money will increase AD by increasing AD! :confused:
 

vimothy

yurp
Here's Scott Fullwiler on Febraro's paper:

The Febrero paper is a complete misrepresentation of Charatalism. No Chartalist takes that paper seriously. All three of the points the paper purports to make as a critique of Chartalism are complete caricatures of Chartalism. Best to ignore the paper (unfortunately, it was published in a top heterodox journal, so it gets trotted out every time someone's looking for some way to critique us--not that this is what you were doing). I did provide a quick critique of the paper on Steve Keen's blog back in September or October, if you care to try and find it (I was posting as "stf" there).

This is not to say that a good critique of the Chartalist approach could not be done, but simply that this particular paper is not that. Not even close.

vimothy . . . found it:

Here's what I wrote in comment 381 at http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/2009/09/19/it’s-hard-being-a-bear-part-five-rescued/?cp=all

Eladio’s paper is a complete misinterpretation of chartalism. Anybody using that paper to discredit chartalism doesn’t understand chartalism. At least none of the “card carrying members” will pay any attention to any critique founded on that paper or others like it. I don’t want to use too much space or precious time discussing that paper, but let’s just consider quickly the three points of criticism made in that paper:

1. He uses the EMU as a counter to the chartalist argument that money has value b/c it is used to settle taxes. Apparently he hasn’t read much of anything Randy has written, b/c Randy’s noted numerous times that EMU is NOT an example of a sovereign currency-issuer for precisely the reasons Eladio mentions. If he’d read the chartalism literature instead of the literature critquing chartalism, he might have noticed that.

2. His critique of the chartalist point that the state controls the value of money misinterprets the chartalist argument. There’s a lot here I could say, but I’ll just make one point (it’s not a complete refutation, granted): Mosler’s 1998 JPKE paper explained rather clearly that the position was that government deficits RELATIVE to private sector desires to spend is what sets aggregate demand. Thus (a) it’s too simplistic to state the point as Eladio does, (b) the chartalist view here is a theory of aggregate demand, and should not be considered inconsistent with approaches such as the PK wage-conflict view.

3. Eladio misinterprets chartalist use of the term “leverage” and their suggestion that “state money precedes private money” to mean something like the money multiplier. It’s beyond me how anyone could ever read Wray, Mosler, myself, etc., and come to this conclusion, but several have. In short, it’s simply wrong . . . we are in complete agreement with the endogenous money view of banking and there’s nothing inconsistent with it and chartalism. See Wray’s edited volume “credit and state theories of money,” Mosler’s paper “soft currency economics,” or Mosler/Forstater’s paper on a “general framework for the analysis of money and other commodities” or something like that (both on Mosler’s site). Here again, Eladio relies on critics of chartalism that had also misinterpreted the chartalist view.
 

rumble

Well-known member
huh, well I can't say that I find that very persuasive at all.

So if Chartalism isn't actually what everyone means when they say "Chartalist" then what is it?

It seems like the classic defense of a weak academic position (backtracking and narrowing the definition of "chartalism", until you get to a point where there is nothing to "chartalism", and nothing left to critique). The features that Febero critiques do quite clearly seem to be part of Chartalism as I hear it espoused. If Fullwiler & co. don't like the conclusions he draws, and don't like this concept of Chartalism, then they should probably just stop calling themselves Chartalists, rather than redefining it to the point of being unrecognizable. It's usually a sign of a bad theory when you keep having to add caveats that contradict earlier claims, and then criticizing others for not keeping up with all the caveats being added to a fundamentally flawed, incoherent theory.

My take is that anything that is actually useful in Chartalism has already been incorporated into PK, while Chartalism itself seems to be fundamentally flawed
 

routes

we can delay.ay.ay...
who do you think is gonna go first?

Greece have initiated massive tax hikes for anyone that earns more than 1 million per year. but official figures show that only 4 (FOUR) people fell into that tax bracket last year. LOL

i remember reading that a fifth of the total budget of the Athens Olympics was unaccounted for. I almost believe it now.
 

vimothy

yurp
huh, well I can't say that I find that very persuasive at all.

So if Chartalism isn't actually what everyone means when they say "Chartalist" then what is it?

Okay, so this is my reading:

Claim 1,
Febrero: EMU money is not Chartalist soveriegn money.
Fullwiler: Correct. This has always been the Chartalist position.

Claim 2,
Febrero: The Chartalists believe that the state determines the value of money.
Fullwiler: No they don't. (They believe AD determines the value of money, and government deficits relative to private sector AD determine AD for the economy as a whole...?)

Claim 3,
Febrero: Chartalists believe the private sector leverages high powered money like a money multiplier.
Fullwiler: No thety don't.

The first is straightforward. Of course the Euro is not an example of soveriegn money.

The second, I'm still thinking about. Incidentally, I looked at the paper by Wray Febrero cites and couldn't find this claim in it anywhere.

I think the third is a misunderstanding as well, though I'm near the extent of my knowledge of Chartalism. In any case it seems only fair to take an actual Chartalist at face value (ha!) when he explains what his own positions are...
 

rumble

Well-known member
who do you think is gonna go first?

Greece. As Vimothy pointed out earlier, when the ECB stops accepting Greek debt on repo due to a downgrade that's basically it - game over. I have a feeling that they will do something to avoid this though, something sneaky like debt guarantees, or some sort of ECB "facility" to temporarily buy up PIIGS debt, maybe some sort of write-down on the existing debt. I'm not sure exactly, but it seems like they are definitely going to have to do something about Greece.
 

vimothy

yurp
Isn't the idea that money derives its value from tax obligations?
Only in the first instance.

More generally, I think that the Chartalists are saying that AD for the economy as a whole determines the value of money and policy (government's net financial position with respect to the private sector) can influence that.
 

vimothy

yurp
Ha

who do you think is gonna go first?

Greece has been pushed to the front of the queue by EU elites. They are agitating for its collapse. They actually want it to suffer. A sacrifice: offer Greece up to the wolves.

The logic of the market can do the rest. It's not hard to read the writing on the wall.

Up next: Spain or Portugal.
 

rumble

Well-known member
1. "can influence that" (AD)

vs.

2. "determine AD for the economy"

I think that's the difference between the basic Keynesian position (1) and the Chartalist position (2)
 

vimothy

yurp
So lemme re-phrase:

1. K: government can influence AD for the economy as a whole

2. C: government can determine AD for the economy as a whole

But I don't think the Chartalists actually believe that the government can determine AD for the economy as a whole, merely influence it, per Keynes:

Mosler’s 1998 JPKE paper explained rather clearly that the position was that government deficits RELATIVE to private sector desires to spend is what sets aggregate demand. Thus (a) it’s too simplistic to state the point as Eladio does, (b) the chartalist view here is a theory of aggregate demand, and should not be considered inconsistent with approaches such as the PK wage-conflict view.
 

rumble

Well-known member
ok, but that's not even a view that is in any way unique to Chartalists
example:
http://www.columbia.edu/dlc/wp/econ/vickrey.html

If Bill Mitchell's brand of MMT isn't Chartalism, where the private sector is incapable of recycling savings into spending, then what exactly is the Chartalism? What's the essential Chartist position? From what I can tell it is essentially an assertion that private bank lending cannot stimulate AD... or something
 

vimothy

yurp
Chartalism is a monetary standard in which government issued tokens are used as the monetary unit. The name derives from the Latin charta, in the sense of a token or ticket.[1] Under such a system the value of the monetary unit is maintained by legal ordinance.

Modern chartalism theory states that under a fiat money system, money is created by government deficit spending. Because money is not tied to or backed by a commodity, money can only be created when the government spends money. Government may, or may not, ask for that money back in taxes. The demand to hold and acquire money is driven by taxes levied by the state, taxes that can only be paid in the state issued fiat currency.

The theory was developed by economist G.F. Knapp into the 1920s. It was influential on the 1930 Treatise on Money by John Maynard Keynes[2] – Knapp and Chartalism are cited approvingly on its opening pages.[3] Chartalism experienced a revival under Abba P. Lerner[4], and has a number of modern proponents, who largely identify as post-Keynesian economists.

Many proponents of chartalism argue that a fiat system is preferable to a commodity money system, particularly because it allows for government deficit spending for fiscal stimulus in ways not possible under a commodity money system.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chartalism
 
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