AFAIK smoking has decreased in Ireland since the ban, but there are contradictory reports.
They are indeed contradictory, aren't they? Nevertheless, most reports [ including the 'contradictory' ones] I've seen actually
confirm that smoking has increased since the ban (though smoking demographics have changed), as further evidenced by
the improved sales of tobacco companies (and
Ban did not hit sales of tobacco) and
a hugh increase in tobacco smuggling, internet sales, and the black market (and
Costs of Cigarette Smuggling), including the emergence of the Prohibition-style 'smokeasy'.
Let's consider this with the most basic example. You quote from Wikipedia:
One report stated that cigarette sales in Ireland and Scotland increased after a smoking ban.[44] In contrast, another report states that in Ireland, cigarette sales fell by 16 per cent in the six months after the ban's introduction.[45]In the UK as a whole, cigarette sales fell by 11% during July 2007, the first month of the smoking ban in England, compared with July 2006.[46]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smoking...ans_by_country
This is a brilliant instance of selective reporting to confirm a pre-existing prejudice. The much heralded decline in tobacco sales in the 6 months after the ban of 16% was subsequently rapidly reversed, and sales in the following 6 months increased by 14%, a trend since continuing and in spite of large price increases are now above their pre-ban level. What's even more startling about the above false reporting is that, not only is this misleadingly selective data repeated in the
source cited , but even the leading anti-smoking lobbying group, ASH, fully acknowledges the reversal from the initial, expected short-term decline.
Furthermore, when allowance is made for the fact that in the majority of countries in the West the rate of smoking has been in continuous decline
anyway for many decades (from over half the population down to less than one quarter in many cases), a gradual reversal of this trend following the introduction of smoking bans in many countries should be a cause for some concern rather than grounds for a further display of bigoted and histrionic theatrics, wishful thinking, and commonsensical rhetoric. It also emerges that the increase in the rate of smoking is principally among the young (ie
new smokers (the increased attractiveness of smoking possibly being accentuated by the very existence of a blanket ban), while for older, existing smokers the rate continues its normal long-term decline.
Maureen Moore, the chief executive of Ash Scotland — the anti-smoking lobby group — called on the Scottish executive to find new ways to cut smoking levels. More than 25% of the adult population — one million people — in Scotland smoke.
“Any increase in sales of cigarettes is bad news for public health,” said Moore. “If cigarette sales are genuinely on the increase then the government needs to raise the price of tobacco further and consider new ways in which to target smokers with better smoking cessation choices.”
There's a paranoic desperation here: by disavowedly ('
If cigarette sales are genuinely on the increase ...") acknowledging the failure of the ban to actually reduce the incidence of smoking, especially in younger age groups, the response is one of denial and displacement combined with an immediate call for even more repressive measures. Maybe if all else fails they might like to smoke 'em out ...
[Meanwhile, the tobacco companies are delighted by all of this, with their worldwide sales booming, and all responsibility for the health effects of smoking now conveniently atomized, now resting entirely with the individual smoker: "
The litigation landscape continues to improve, particularly in the US, where the vast majority of individual and class action claims have been decided in favor of the tobacco companies. We were pleased to see a case against Commonwealth Brands dismissed with no right of appeal in June 2007. And of the two remaining individual claims against Commonwealth, one has been dismissed, although could still theoretically be appealed, while the other is inactive and has been for some time."----Iain Napier - Chairman, Imperial Tobacco Group PLC ... the linked report above gives a good insight into the contemporary mindset of senior corporate executives, innocent upstanding Pillars of Society as their zombie customers are criminalized]