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this article has some mind-boggling details when you consider that, one the one hand, obama maintained that ukraine wasn't a "core interest" of the US, couldn't expect a security guarantee but could expect domination by russia, but on the other, the CIA was at the same time training and funding...

making noises about how Ukraine isnt a "core interest", whilst training its military an orienting it against russia

western policy towards Russia was clearly incoherent

hence but they obvs werent successful

Germany have been trying to do this for the last decade

which is obviously theoretically possible, but at the same time politically hard to imagine

which seems insane, given its gdp, but Europe needs to reconstitute itself as a geopolitical power

Europe is, in this new multipolar world, fucked

as for Europe's energy security, it's completely at sea

I think not, at least at present

can europe step into the gap? in principle, yes, but in practice?

but then the question is what constitutes nato forces - suppose america pulls back, what then?

russia stands at a serious advantage to Europe in geopolitical terms - if it wants to roll into the baltics, could we stop it? if it doesnt, what kind of arrangement are we going back to wrt our energy requirements?

I've become quite pessimistic about the whole situ, tbh. can we avoid all out war with russia, even in the event of some kind of negotiated peace over Ukraine

but the more things change

nowadays its more like "guess that's what they call a japanese lesbo"

still happens today

tbf, any potential Scotland-England crisis is more relevant to Russia's security interests than a Russia-Ukraine crisis is to our's, given the proximity of the UK's nuclear port in Scotland to the GIUK Gap https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GIUK_gap

just look at a map, basically

why isnt the uk more invested in the Russia-Ukraine crisis is the same question as why isnt russia more invested in the Scotland-England crisis