UK EU Referendum Thoughts

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luka

Well-known member
You build a model you think best explains what you see. It will definitely be wrong in most respects but what else you gunna do?
 

sadmanbarty

Well-known member
Dont be soft headed barty. If you want to know what the term means you can goggle it but the whole point is it's like, secret man

I've seen the term used before in the context of Turkey and Egypt, but I don't see how it can be applied to the UK. I was hoping someone could enlighten me.
 

droid

Well-known member
Sorry to state the obvious:

You have your obvious factions of control in any society, 'the establishment' the traditional, self evident confluence of business, media, law & politics which exerts influence, but does so in a relatively obvious fashion.

Then you have a second, less apparent tier of control involving elements of intelligence, security, economic, media, & political (sometime transnational) forces which strive to influence policy and structures.

The Deep State is a third tier. A clandestine rump which seeks to covertly influence policy and society. Rather than repeat wikipedia:

The notion of deep state is similar to that of a "state within the state". For those who believe in its existence, the political agenda of the deep state involves an allegiance to nationalism, corporatism, and state interests. Violence and other means of pressure have historically been employed in a largely covert manner to manipulate political and economic elites and ensure specific interests are met within the seemingly democratic framework of the political landscape.

Clearly the deep state exists. Turkey's has been well publicised - I mentioned Italy above, and Gelli/P2/Gladio are arguably another example, and infact Gladio cultivated and exploited these tendencies throughout Europe.*

The question regarding the UK is what is the crossover between tier 2 (ostensibly acting along semi-legitimate lines) and tier 3 (acting covertly against the interests of the population)?

*When I heard of the most recent revelations about MI5 collusion with the IRA & the Shankill bombing I immediately thought of the red brigades and their CIA explosives..
 

droid

Well-known member
again on the UK

these people can't even control their colleagues. what makes you think they have the wherewithal to control you or i?

im not saying there arent currents of control - or efforts to exercise control but its usually the "deep state's" own fantasy of its own efficacy. they'd like to feel that way certainly.

from my own experience no one has much control of anything. some people's sense of powerlessness is certainly exacerbated by their personal circumstances. i, for instance, as a freelancer feel almost totally powerless. im quite at ease with that though.

im not trying to insult anyone or their intelligence by saying such and such is paranoid behaviour - in fact it does seem a bit rude so sorry - i just hate seeing people torture themselves about things which i dont believe are real.

even the biggest ceos are just riding the wave - and what did terry wogan say (lol) - his success has been down to luck "that's the biggest element"

I appreciate what you're saying, but the evidence is incontrovertible. These forces exist in every state to some extent. They have brought down governments, manipulated media, fomented coups, committed acts of terror. The question you should be asking is 'why should the UK be any different'?

Not that I think this should be a primary focus - there are plenty of transparent methods and structures of power & control which are completely out in the open, some of which have been mentioned upthread.
 

Mr. Tea

Let's Talk About Ceps
Is the key difference between the second and third layers simply that the third layer is wholly clandestine whereas the second is clandestine only in some of its activities, not its actual existence?
 
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droid

Well-known member
Yeah, I think that's probably fair, methodology may be a factor as well.

You would like to think that those in legitimate positions of power would stop short of murdering their own citizens for political purposes... ...False flag domestic terror allegations have become the calling card of conspiracy nuts everywhere, but again, we know it has happened and has been well documented in Europe & the US. I guess the primary difference is that there is at least the remote possibility in theory of those in tier 2 being held accountable.

Look at David Kelly. Hutton uncovered all kinds of shenanigans in what was essentially a neutered inquiry but I don't think anyone credulous believes the whole story has been told.
 

Leo

Well-known member
so hopefully those in tier 2 or 3 will be taking trump down soon. unless they're the ones propping him up...
 

Woebot

Well-known member
I appreciate what you're saying, but the evidence is incontrovertible. These forces exist in every state to some extent. They have brought down governments, manipulated media, fomented coups, committed acts of terror. The question you should be asking is 'why should the UK be any different'?

Not that I think this should be a primary focus - there are plenty of transparent methods and structures of power & control which are completely out in the open, some of which have been mentioned upthread.

again im talking about the uk here

certainly we dont need to agree on this

the point im trying to make (without much success) is that while i accept decisions like this are made in societies and as leo suggests with trumps potential removal is a case in point - i dont believe they are made by cabals, by an "establishment" or a secret order. events and individuals come together in an ad hoc way. on each occasion it might be a totally different set of interests in play.
 

vimothy

yurp
Collusion is a natural mode of human behaviour. From the school-yard to the boardroom, where people gather in numbers, they conspire to further their interests.
 

droid

Well-known member
again im talking about the uk here

certainly we dont need to agree on this

the point im trying to make (without much success) is that while i accept decisions like this are made in societies and as leo suggests with trumps potential removal is a case in point - i dont believe they are made by cabals, by an "establishment" or a secret order. events and individuals come together in an ad hoc way. on each occasion it might be a totally different set of interests in play.

Youre arguing against a straw man, which, perhaps I have helped construct. Ignore the clandestine, conspiratorial explanations and look at the obvious.

As Vim points out, collusion is inevitable in almost any system, particularly in hierarchical systems, and human history is almost universally a tale of small numbers of people gaining power & wealth and using it to influence events in their favour.

Capitalist democracies are no different in that they are essentially plutocracies. This is implicit in structures of governance, law & barriers to entry. Sure, it gets messy, and establishment forces don't always get exactly what they want but generally things work as they should. Trends we've seen over the last 40 years in the UK - privatisation, destruction of the labour movement, erosion of welfare, criminalisation of protest, increases in intelligence and security activity, liberalisation of the financial & banking sectors - these all serve particular purposes and benefit particular groups.

There is no need for smokey rooms and cabals. It's structural. Politics is the shadow cast on society by business and those in positions of influence would simply not be there if they had not internalised this principle. The system endures & every 5 years we vote for the party which demonstrates the most effective control of the media.

In other news, water flows downhill, and bears shit in the woods. ;)
 

sadmanbarty

Well-known member
The way I understand a deep state is when a country's institutions such as the parliament or judiciary only have nominal power, with the real power being in the hands of the military and intelligence services. Egypt and Pakistan are examples of this.

A few thoughts:

1) In these situations the military and intelligence services can act without a mandate from the government. Are there examples of this in the UK? If anything the intelligence agencies are over politicised; being pressured into the dodgy dossier, claims of 70,000 moderate Syrian rebels, etc.

2) Are the populations in countries with deep states unaware of the military and intelligence services power? I imagine people in Egypt and Pakistan understand the role these institutions play in politics; its not a "secret" (to borrow Luka's terminology). The fact the UK population is unaware of a deep state would make us an anomaly in this regard.

3) Isn't it dangerous to use this terminology so offhandedly when talking about the UK? It cheapens the accusations of authoritarianism, which could mean they would be meaningless even if used in the correct context.
 

droid

Well-known member
That's not my understanding no. You are describing openly authoritarian states in which the Deep State has little or no need to conceal its existence. Its only in ostensible democracies where this is necessary. Italy, I think is the example to look at here.

Im not sure it is 'dangerous' to use the term - imprecise perhaps, but then again thats exactly why I posed it as a question rather than an assertion.
 

sadmanbarty

Well-known member
That's not my understanding no. You are describing openly authoritarian states in which the Deep State has little or no need to conceal its existence. Its only in ostensible democracies where this is necessary. Italy, I think is the example to look at here.

Im not sure it is 'dangerous' to use the term - imprecise perhaps, but then again thats exactly why I posed it as a question rather than an assertion.

Pakistan and Egypt are both ostensible democracies (the emphasis being on ostensible), but I see your point.

By the way I wasn't trying to criticise you with the dangerous comment, just putting an idea out there.

I'll take a look at your Italy example.
 

Woebot

Well-known member
Youre arguing against a straw man, which, perhaps I have helped construct. Ignore the clandestine, conspiratorial explanations and look at the obvious.

As Vim points out, collusion is inevitable in almost any system, particularly in hierarchical systems, and human history is almost universally a tale of small numbers of people gaining power & wealth and using it to influence events in their favour.

Capitalist democracies are no different in that they are essentially plutocracies. This is implicit in structures of governance, law & barriers to entry. Sure, it gets messy, and establishment forces don't always get exactly what they want but generally things work as they should. Trends we've seen over the last 40 years in the UK - privatisation, destruction of the labour movement, erosion of welfare, criminalisation of protest, increases in intelligence and security activity, liberalisation of the financial & banking sectors - these all serve particular purposes and benefit particular groups.

There is no need for smokey rooms and cabals. It's structural. Politics is the shadow cast on society by business and those in positions of influence would simply not be there if they had not internalised this principle. The system endures & every 5 years we vote for the party which demonstrates the most effective control of the media.

In other news, water flows downhill, and bears shit in the woods. ;)

thanks droid. i think i get it now.
 

vimothy

yurp
Students with traditional surnames such as Darcy and Percy have dominated the roll-calls at Oxford and Cambridge Universities since the Norman Conquest, a new study has revealed, sparking concerns over social mobility.

Despite the upheavals of the last 800 years, there have been Darcys, Mandevilles, Percys and Montgomerys at the two elite institutions for 27 generations.

Researchers found the same names which were associated with great wealth and privilege under William the Conqueror are still found at the top echelons of society today.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/educatio...ended-Oxbridge-since-the-Norman-Conquest.html
 

droid

Well-known member
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https://www.equalitytrust.org.uk/how-has-inequality-changed
 
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