mixed_biscuits
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A "wave" means a wave of infections.
No, it doesn't; this 'wave' term is not even a scientific one.
You do realise that the first peak of cases you've got there was limited by testing capacity?
A "wave" means a wave of infections.
"personal freedoms" or do you just need to feel solidarity with your niche Internet brothers
No, it doesn't; this 'wave' term is not even a scientific one.
You do realise that the first peak of cases you've got there was limited by testing capacity?
What's your objection to it? Say spike, or peak, or something else, if you like. It doesn't matter.
Well what happens if you extend the analysis that gives the grey lines into the right-hand part of the plot? As it stands this is just disingenuous, because it implies that after a certain point there are no undiagnosed cases.
Well what happens if you extend the analysis that gives the grey lines into the right-hand part of the plot? As it stands this is just disingenuous, because it implies that after a certain point there are no undiagnosed cases.
@slackk Modellers predicted Swedish outcomes 10x worse during Spring, given what they were planning to do; mistaken assumptions continue to mess up models which consequently messes up management of the phenomenon:
View attachment 5078
Hmm this doesnt have much to do with Sweden though does it, its a graph of possible UK cases.
My point isn't to do with epidemiologist modelling- though it is interesting that you bemoan it given that you want us to follow "conventional epidemic policy" - its that regardless of modelling, Sweden is going through an extraordinary spike the same time as the rest of Europe despite the pursuit of herd immunity. So, to me, the model has failed, it has ignored punditry narrative.
So- who are the people providing solutions, where are the risk assessed plan of works that get through a European winter without lockdown? This is the part that I can't see anyone providing.
Why does no-one on this side of the argument talk about Taiwan or S. Korea etc. Its just bizarre how Sweden is the answer to everything when it's not even a cool place to go for a weekend really and they've all got covid again anyway