Outside human history its obvious that nature functions in cyclical ways, atoms, animals, seasons, electromagnetic waves, stars, galaxies. The idea of free will can give the illusion of existing outside the churn but do we tho?
When we think history isn’t cyclical maybe we haven’t zoomed out, or magnified in enough to see the causal relations. We’re attuned to a limited bandwidth to model reality, and interference from other wavelengths and timelines can feel like noise, but with enough time and space and scope noise becomes signal. Does randomness exist or are the anomalies snippets of patterns of complexity beyond our comprehension?
As padraig says, there’s what happens and then the story we tell ourselves about what’s happened. We are being produced, and our recording of reality is productive. the present is constantly producing the past and future simultaneously. Remembering is creating, and every recording is a reflection with errors that creates something new. Fractals bro.
We can hardly conceptualise without comparison, difference, metaphor. So we see cycles and similarities in history because that’s the only way we make sense. And there’s self-fulfilling prophecy and all that. Models of the world that self reinforce, we’re condemned to repeat stories, the abused becomes the abuser, fictions have real effects.
Horoscopes, numerology, astrology, theory… attempts to discern complex eternal patterns in behaviour. And buddhist ideas of karma and reincarnation are attempts to convey the infinite complex interlacing of cause and effect in ways we can relate to and live life by.