It does for us but the point of the example (or at least other versions I've seen without the cynical chicken) is that what actually does happen is completely outside of their conception. Just like the purple gas is for us I guess."The difference between the chicken's friend and Immyr's purple gas theory is that the theory about the farmer fattening up chickens for the slaughter comes with a good explanation"
All agreed, you are arriving at your theory without induction."I think my explanation shows that (or is intended to show that!) scientific knowledge should be based on falsification and the best explanations available, not on induction.
Here is how theories get to be popular:
Someone invents a theory.
People argue about whether the theory's explanations seem likely.
........
......
So we arrive at our best theory to date by this means, we might as well use it"
All true but (I think) you are still missing the deeper point. Given that we have (deductively, analytically, whatever) arrived at this theory, how do we generalise it to all time (and one second in the future and tomorrow)? Only by induction.So there is no "induction problem" in the creation of knowledge in this way.
Sorry Edward, I missed this bit from your reply, but I would say that you are not avoiding using induction, you are actually using induction (because you generalise the theory to the future) but being aware that that may be logically flawed - I think that is subtly different in theory if not in practice."We don't KNOW if it'll be true tomorrow but it's the best thing we've got.
If we thought we knew that we would be using induction."
All agreed - that's exactly what I'm saying really.If you really want to push it, I am using "induction" in that I am using my theory with no way of knowing that everything could change at any moment.
But I am doing it with my eyes open. I am not saying "my theory will remain true in the future because it was true in the past".
So I am not saying induction is true and valid.
I am using my theory as if induction were valid even though I know it isn't because it seems the best course of action open to me.
Oh dear, oh dear! Popper, Kuhn - and no Foucault, no Badiou? [though I must confess that, as a teenager, I did read the former two, and much, much later, the latter two].
So, for example, what about the episteme, the condition of knowledge's possibility within a particular epoch, the historical a priori that grounds knowledge and its discourses?
Is it any wonder that the real of science, for so many, is increasingly the scientific method, the form, and not the seemingly meaningless equations it produces?
Umm...whut? Care to be a little more specific?science (or should I say modern science) for me causes more trouble than whatever its original aims intend...
Nice to see a good level of rationality being displayed in this thread!and for another point I'll quote proverbs in the bible
SEEMINGLY meaningless? To whom? Well, the answer to that is "anyone not trained in that branch of science/mathematics", I suppose.Is it any wonder that the real of science, for so many, is increasingly the scientific method, the form, and not the seemingly meaningless equations it produces?
Firstly, why "now"? Surely this situation was far more likely in the past, when empirical data was far scarcer and generally less precise? To ancient man, there was no test that could distinguish between heliocentric and geocentric astronomies, because they explained the observable facts equally well: from the late middle ages onwards, geocentric models had to be made more and more complicated to explain facts (eccentricities of orbits) that sat very comfortably with heliocentric models. Ever since then, people championing geocentric models have justifiably been derided as loonies.in most cases contradictory theories of phenomenon X can very comfortably now co-exist
hundredmillionlifetimes said:Is it any wonder that the real of science, for so many, is increasingly the scientific method, the form, and not the seemingly meaningless equations it produces?
What is this supposed to say?
another one bites the dust![]()
That it is not (scientific) knowledge itself - which is always fragile and contingent (and forever disputed) ie. is always "untrue" - but the method of science [and in spite of Feyerabend] that is regarded as The Truth (but which is actually the realm of - the metaphysics of - Desire).
That's a very good way of putting it: treat the scientific method itself a bit like a scientific theory, in that we shall continue to use it for as long as it is useful.The importance is then simply the emprical fact that it has been very successful.Should that success come to an end, the scientific method as we know it now, will whither.