US Election 2024

[Leo]

Joe Blow!

Secret Service Examining How Suspected Cocaine Ended Up at the White House

An initial test of the white powdery substance found inside the White House on Sunday evening showed it was cocaine. President Biden and his family were away when it was discovered.

www.nytimes.com

 

[Mr. Tea]

Joe Blow!

Secret Service Examining How Suspected Cocaine Ended Up at the White House

An initial test of the white powdery substance found inside the White House on Sunday evening showed it was cocaine. President Biden and his family were away when it was discovered.

www.nytimes.com

At least the Republicans won't be able to pin this on Hunter, as everyone knows he prefers rock.

 

[Leo]

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. press dinner explodes in war of words and farting

A verbal war broke out between two old-timers over climate change that led to one loudly farting at the table to express his disgust.

pagesix.com

 

[Clinamenic]

Anyone following this RFK Jr Covid bioweapon talk?

 

[Clinamenic]

Interesting, the possibility that, if his above statement is accurate, this ostensibly ersatz moral attack from social progressives may actually earn RFK sympathy from the cultural right wing, and perhaps even have a net effect of making him more electable. Thoughts?

 

[Clinamenic]

I mean, in the clip, he does say "“COVID-19 is targeted to attack Caucasians and black people. The people who are most immune are Ashkenazi Jews and Chinese.”

If the "is targeted to attack Caucasians and black people" bit is an offhand mistake, and if he really meant something more like "is biomolecularly structured in such a way that Caucasian and black people happen to be more vulnerable", then maybe his defense holds some water, regarding any implicit accusations that the virus is designed to have a certain effect.

Aside from his wording and intentions, theres also the matter of the soundness of that study he referenced.

 

[Mr. Tea]

Anyone following this RFK Jr Covid bioweapon talk?

I was sure for a second this was going to be about farting again.

 

[Clinamenic]

I was sure for a second this was going to be about farting again.

Can farts be targeted at Caucasian and black people? Ethnoselective odorant receptors?

 

[Mr. Tea]

Can farts be targeted at Caucasian and black people? Ethnoselective odorant receptors?

William Burroughs never came up with anything this disturbing in his worst smack-withdrawal nightmares.

 

[version]

Apparently some Republicans are convinced RFK Jr.'s going to split the Democrat vote, but Dem voters don't actually like him and it's mostly Republicans who seem likely to vote for him.

 

[version]

 

[Mr. Tea]

Is this an ultra-rare 'stopped clock' moment for Trump?

 

[IdleRich]

So... first primary; Trump wins bigly and Ramaswamy drops out. De Santis second despite predictions it would be Halley.

 

[IdleRich]

People are sharing this breakdown...

2,083,000 registered voters in Iowa
718,000 registered republicans
only 102,000 voted today
53,219 voted for Trump - almost 2.5%

I don't know what that means though. How many normally vote in a primary? Especially when the result is seemingly a foregone conclusion.

 

[IdleRich]

As far as I can tell the situation is as follows.

Unless he is somehow prevented by his mounting legal problems (or he has a heart attack or something) Trump is certain to be the Republican candidate.

If Trump is the candidate it looks like fifty-fifty via Biden.

I have no idea how to evaluate the likelihood of his legal problems affecting him. Would anyone care to have a stab at putting a percentage on it.

Also, suppose Trump is somehow ruled out, would it happen before he is the official candidate or while he is the official candidate and how much difference will that make?

Also, suppose he actually wins the election, will all legal problems vanish? I find it extremely hard to picture an actual president in the dock. Even if it is not literally the case that the president is immune to prosecution my feeling is that in the event it will be what happens in practice.

 

[mixed_biscuits]

People are sharing this breakdown...

2,083,000 registered voters in Iowa
718,000 registered republicans
only 102,000 voted today
53,219 voted for Trump - almost 2.5%

I don't know what that means though. How many normally vote in a primary? Especially when the result is seemingly a foregone conclusion.

It probably means Trump's percentage is actually higher...Republicans live in a society (unlike Dem individualists) and have a good idea of relative candidate popularities. Given an awareness that Trump is way ahead supporters of less popular candidates would be motivated to vote while Trump supporters would be demotivated from voting e.g. if they have a shift at the church soup kitchen while the polling booths are open. Max true Trump percentage could be roughly 90%.

 

[IdleRich]

Yeah plus the weather too.

 

[mixed_biscuits]

Yeah plus the weather too.

The weather will further reduce the probability of someone who thinks their vote can't be crucial actually bothering to vote.

 

[IdleRich]

DeSantis has dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, Trump immediately changed his rhetoric by 180 degrees and said what a great campaign he'd run and also that he would retire the DeSanctimonious name... what happens if Haley drops out and the candidate is decided? It would be kinda boring, but is that an advantage for the candidate or would it be better if they were campaigning and battling all the way along staying in the public eye cos there was something happening?

 

[IdleRich]

I think that Haley is saying the right thing, basically the other two are both old they're backwards looking, Trump is always going on about the past and revenge and grudges and the very name Make America Great Again is harking to the past. She is young, they are old, they are the past, she is the future. In terms of a message it's the obvious thing to use.