Iranian democracy

scottdisco

rip this joint please
just watching Auntie's Caroline Hawley discuss our (well the Brits among us) person in Tehran; mentioned that one of the newspapers over there (outrider? ?) is calling for the collar of Mousavi to be felt as a "foreign agent" !

in far better news

The pro-reform group said in a statement that the top legislative body, the Guardian Council, no longer had the right "to judge in this case."
In a statement to the press, the Assembly of Qom Seminary Scholars and Researchers said some members of the Guardian Council had "lost their impartial image in the eyes of the public."

here

though of course

"I hope with good management and wisdom the issues would be settled in the next days and the situation could improve ... We should think about protecting the system's long-term interests," Mr Rafsanjani said.

how many 10 large has that clown Naiman paid out yet?
 
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padraig (u.s.)

a monkey that will go ape

yeah I saw that, grim business. & the Revolution takes another step towards becoming a Police State.

clearly foreigners - well, any foreigners still paying attention (& how's that working out, btw?:slanted:) - will dismiss them out of hand. what I wonder is, do those in the regime expect any Iranians (besides the regime's diehard supporters) to actually believe these confessions? that they weren't extracted under torture or even plainly fabricated?

one thing - looks like reconciliation isn't on the table. hardline the order of the day.

on another note still waiting to see what the fallout will be w/Hamas & Hizballah. as well as Israel.
 

padraig (u.s.)

a monkey that will go ape
@Scott - yeah I reckon it's as speculated - the regime is seriously weakened. e.g. more desperate, will likely grasp ever more tightly at the reins of power - yunno, the tighter you grasp, more slips thru your fingers kinda thing. not that it's automatically coming down anytime in the short or even the long run. & in the meantime I reckon a more desperate, threatened IRGC is not a good look for stability.
 

scottdisco

rip this joint please
given some of the thugs used to enforce protests against this farce were Hizbollah, i assume that group has gotten some cash back for the loan of their boys?

good points re regional fall-out, P.

side-point: when Craner and i went to the first Euston Manifesto conference thing at SOAS (we are paranoid crypto-fascist neo-cons, as Luka would remind me), Fred Halliday gave a great account of meeting Hizbollah's number two. toward the end of their four hour long or so chat, the chap got really anti-semitic.

funded and directly ordered from Tehran, of course, he admitted.

relevant from Halliday, as ever
I long ago decided, in dealing with revolutionaries and with their enemies, in the middle east and elsewhere, to question their motives and sense of reality, but to take seriously what they stated to be their true intentions.
 

padraig (u.s.)

a monkey that will go ape
given some of the thugs used to enforce protests against this farce were Hizbollah, i assume that group has gotten some cash back for the loan of their boys?

is is this actually true or was it just Twitter rumors? I've no idea.

we are paranoid crypto-fascist neo-cons, as Luka would remind me

I never doubted it for a second:D.

Halliday quote is a gem. one thing re: Hizballah - even tho they are obv a proxy of the Iranians, Tehran would not be able to tap into Lebanese Shiite discontent & anger w/o Israel having touched both off w/the occupation. which was, ironically, originally aimed the PLO, a far less persistent/competent/dangerous adversary. f**king Ariel Sharon & his backfiring machinations.

another to keep in mind regionally - Syria. both as Tehran's middleman to Hamas/Hiz & in its own right. how long can the Assads/Alawites stay on top? what does a less stable Iran mean for them?
 

scottdisco

rip this joint please
also just spotted via Abu M, regional interest - also relevant in terms of Euro/U.S. interest in rebuilding Iraq as the traditional counterbalance to Iran...

France Hopes to Jump-Start Its Arms Sales With New Iraqi Government

nice one, France.

heh-heh.

France, which was an important weapons supplier to Saddam Hussein

quite.

and sorry P, i was getting HAMAS members in Tehran confused with Hizb members, it's Hamasniks in Iran i've heard about. HAMAS deny it as nonsense, but Iranians have said it is not. who to believe.. ...the Halliday meeting was with Hizb though, i wouldn't get that confused!

jaw-jaw with Syria would be great: damn sight better than what we have now. if settling into some realist-type accomodation with the vile Assad means getting things done, or at least setting a cooler regional tone, than i'm afraid that's what has to be done.
 

Mr. Tea

Let's Talk About Ceps
what I wonder is, do those in the regime expect any Iranians (besides the regime's diehard supporters) to actually believe these confessions? that they weren't extracted under torture or even plainly fabricated?

Well if I know anything about totalitarian (or at least, severely authoritarian) regimes, it's not whether people believe these confessions that matters: it's more a case of saying to the public at large, and even moreso to opposition leaders or other potential 'troublemakers', "We have the means and the inclination to fuck you up good, so watch out".
 

padraig (u.s.)

a monkey that will go ape
Well if I know anything about totalitarian (or at least, severely authoritarian) regimes, it's not whether people believe these confessions that matters: it's more a case of saying to the public at large, and even moreso to opposition leaders or other potential 'troublemakers', "We have the means and the inclination to fuck you up good, so watch out".

right but then the question becomes - was Iran a totalitarian regime before (loosely)? is it one now? are we witnessing a transition? hence the bit about the Revolution -> Police State. cos, remember the original '79 revolution was well wrapped up in anti-authoritarian ideals. I guess my point is that despite the religious element (which was not the only or even the dominant element at the beginning) '79 was revolutionary in nature, not reactionary. tho this transition is, of course, not an uncommon one following revolutions.

sure it is a message - but I get the feeling that it is also the regime attempting to save face. even w/o the confessions everyone knows they can still put the hurt on. it goes to some of the points made (by Josef, & others) about legitimacy & the regime's desire to have it - whereas many authoritarian regimes could give a shit if they're viewed as legitimate. witness the tussles between old revolutionaries over the direction of Iran - all appealing to the spirit of '79 to an extent, as the "true" defenders of the revolution, Iran, the people etc.
 

polystyle

Well-known member
Internal affairs

Power struggle intensifies ...

In postelection Iran, there is growing unease among many of the nation’s political and clerical elite that the very system of governance they rely on for power and privilege has been stripped of its religious and electoral legitimacy, creating a virtual dictatorship enforced by an emboldened security apparatus, analysts said.

Among the Iranian president’s allies are those who question whether the nation needs elected institutions at all.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/08/world/middleeast/08clerics.html?hp
 
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vimothy

yurp
Apparently there is a big protest going on today in Iran:

16425576-fa681f6b8d692fb505e0886c0a95bd29.4a55e8f8-full.jpg



Iran police tear gas protesters

Iranian police have fired tear gas at hundreds of demonstrators who defied government warnings that any fresh attempt at protests would be "smashed".

The marchers were heading towards Tehran University to commemorate the 10th anniversary of student unrest.

All gatherings have been banned in a crackdown on mass protests that erupted after the disputed election of 12 June.

The BBC's Jon Leyne says the opposition is trying to put momentum back into the campaign against the vote result.
 
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