Worldometer is out of date for the UK. The total at 5pm yesterday was 578, up 115 from 8 hours earlier (as they're changing the times at which they start/end the count), if I've read this correctly. Can that be true, it's crazy if so
but the real truth is, no one exactly knows for now
it seems pretty clear there's not enough data for even experts to make anything more than educated guesses
I assume that really things like this are only figured out in retrospect
which is good news for Ireland (highest nurse rate on Earth, from what I could find)
I read something in the FT earlier about the Oxford model - it's getting serious flack from scientists at Imperial.
Looks like the whole thing has kicked off some serious intervarsity rivalry! I think Paxman should adjudicate.
This is what I mean about science is a load of bollocks anyone that believe 'science' wants their head examining
Yeah it's insanely complicated. One of my friends has been emailing me saying "You did a maths degree in 1995 - surely you can work out when it will peak and exactly how many will die?". She didn't seem to believe me when I said it's not quite that simple...Yeah, I'm sure epidemiologists and statisticians are going to be chewing this over for decades to come. There's more data than ever before, and it's easier to come by than ever before, but how do you make sense of it when all the countries involved have different ways of testing for it (or not) and different ways of treating patients and recording deaths?
Fucking hell the New Yorker is so twee every article starts like this
I woke up to a sweltering morning—the black kites outside my hotel room were circling upward, lifted by the warming currents of air—and I went to visit a shrine to the goddess Shitala
I too hate that homespun American style, it's the worst. Worse than Coronavirus.