droid

Well-known member
This is where we, due respect, have to disagree

Going on precedence, I agree it's significantly more likely to be an IDF fuckup that they're disavowing than a Hamas or PIJ fuckup (let alone false flag).

I'm arguing for a general principle of applying a fog of war standard for any conflict when a major event occurs, especially such an emotionally charged one. Not for years but yunno, you don't have to declare with certainty an hour after something happens. Especially in a time when there are oceans of misinformed everywhere.

Generally, sure, Id agree, but Ive seen this so many times, right down to the non-timestamped videos, the changing stories, the gleeful tweets from Israeli politicians and then their hasty deletion. Its basically a cliche at this point.
 

droid

Well-known member
Say what you like about Al Jazeera, but where else would you get a detailed and bitingly cynical analysis of the Arab league's statement to the UN, followed by interviews with a former assistant secretary of state and the Jordanian foreign minister.
 

padraig (u.s.)

a monkey that will go ape
Generally, sure, Id agree, but Ive seen this so many times, right down to the non-timestamped videos, the changing stories, the gleeful tweets from Israeli politicians and then their hasty deletion. Its basically a cliche at this point.
Their track record is bad for sure

Not to sound callous, but it's obv a PR disaster for them
 

padraig (u.s.)

a monkey that will go ape
Btw I'd still guess it's primarily the hostages, but another reason for delaying an invasion, if it's coming, has to be Biden's visit. They can't very well invade before or while he's there.
 

droid

Well-known member
Yeah, thats one of the ones I saw.

Just one last atrocity before daddy comes to visit, only this one's enflamed the entire Arab world.
 

padraig (u.s.)

a monkey that will go ape
As the official Israeli hospital explanation is basically "trust me bro it was a PIJ rocket", I think it can be safely assumed it was an Israeli strike unless there's extremely compelling counterevidence. This guy breaks it down well in incidentally a shockingly even-handed piece of reporting by mainstream American news standards:


Puts Biden in an extremely awkward spot. He has to try to salvage something out of this trip. U.S. govt hasn't yet adopted the Israeli line and if they can't even get us to pretend to believe it, who the hell will.
 

Clinamenic

Binary & Tweed
Friend of mine works on this project, which is about verifying facts. Not sure how their platform works though, but pretty sure it uses peer-to-peer infra:

“An Israeli air strike has killed at least 500 Palestinians at the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza”


 

Mr. Tea

Let's Talk About Ceps
Friend of mine works on this project, which is about verifying facts. Not sure how their platform works though, but pretty sure it uses peer-to-peer infra:

“An Israeli air strike has killed at least 500 Palestinians at the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza”


I expect Bellingcat will be on the case soon, as well. They did an excellent OSINT investigation of the killing of Shireen Abu Akleh, the Palestinian journalist, last year, and concluded that Israel's claim that she was shot by Palestinians 'firing wildly' was total bullshit, and that she was almost certainly murdered by an IDF sniper.
 

hmg

Victory lap
In the cold light of day, no fucking way this was an IDF bomb. Or that 500 were killed. I expect they emptied morgues all over the strip to get the numbers up.

 

version

Well-known member
It's been ridiculous seeing elements of American media taking a clip of Trump saying his usual shit about an opponent being 'smart' re: Hezbollah and trying to present it as Trump praising them like he's some sort of supporter. He's a moron, but come on. Shameless clickbait and opportunism.
 

version

Well-known member
Puts Biden in an extremely awkward spot. He has to try to salvage something out of this trip. U.S. govt hasn't yet adopted the Israeli line and if they can't even get us to pretend to believe it, who the hell will.
 

Mr. Tea

Let's Talk About Ceps
It's been ridiculous seeing elements of American media taking a clip of Trump saying his usual shit about an opponent being 'smart' re: Hezbollah and trying to present it as Trump praising them like he's some sort of supporter. He's a moron, but come on. Shameless clickbait and opportunism.
Sure, of course it doesn't mean he's literally rooting for them. It's still a very odd thing to hear from an ex-POTUS, or from someone who hopes to be the next POTUS.
 

version

Well-known member
Sure, of course it doesn't mean he's literally rooting for them. It's still a very odd thing to hear from an ex-POTUS, or from someone who hopes to be the next POTUS.

Right, but he's an idiot and he's said the same thing about China, Russia, North Korea and whoever else. He says it about basically anyone. It's not newsworthy.
 

version

Well-known member
yeah the idea that the Israeli govt would sacrifice ~1500 Israelis (plus impending war casualties), severely damage the air of invincibility it cultivates as part of deterrence, initiate a massive callup, start a multifront war that might drag in Iran, and virtually ensure its own downfall in order to annex half of Gaza makes about as much sense as 9/11 truth claims. I would not be surprised at all they ignored warnings from Egypt or whoever else. as with the intelligence failures iof 9/11, don't attribute to malice that which can be explained by incompetence. they got complacent and Hamas leadership took advantage of it.

the heads of Shin Bet and Israeli military have both publicly apologized btw. Presumably Netanyahu will be throwing people under the bus as fast as he can in an attempt to survive politically.

Well he's got that Trump/Putin survivor's instinct, hasn't he? Nobody is too important to be sacrificed if it might even slightly increase the big man's chances of hanging onto power.

He's of publicly rubbished Egypt's claim about the ignored warning, of course, although I don't know widely that will be believed now the Americans have confirmed it.

JERUSALEM, Oct 18 (Reuters) - One Israeli cabinet minister was barred from a hospital visitors' entrance. Another's bodyguards were drenched with coffee thrown by a bereaved man. A third had "traitor" and "imbecile" shouted at her as she came to comfort families evacuated during the horror.

[...]

"You hear people in the street who are natural Likud supporters speaking about them with unequivocal hostility," he said. "The wrath is only going to grow, and this apparent effort by Netanyahu to evade his own responsibility only makes people angrier. He just can't bring himself to say: 'We screwed up.'"

 

maxi

Well-known member
All the politicians and journalists saying "we should not rush to judgement" about the al-ahli hospital blast are mysteriously silent on the fact that its been conclusively and repeatedly shown that Israel has targeted hospitals, ambulances and medics in gaza in the past. You'd think that would be a relevant fact worth mentioning in the coverage
 

version

Well-known member
Yeah, I've just seen a bunch of people on a Reddit thread acting as though it's been conclusively proven it wasn't Israel and all the people who thought it was must feel stupid now that Biden's made a loose statement and the IDF are claiming it was someone on the Palestinian side... Maybe it was, but surely they're making the same mistake they're accusing others of making by just believing this latest claim?
 
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